Many cryptocurrency investors are growing anxious about Bitcoin’s price movements, with widespread concern that the current bull cycle has already peaked. The prevailing sentiment suggests Bitcoin won’t climb much higher from its current levels, leading to fears that the party is over for crypto enthusiasts.
However, CryptoCon, a crypto analyst on X, argues that this pessimism is misplaced. According to CryptoCon’s analysis, the data tells a completely different story than what the nervous crowd believes. The weekly Rate of Change indicator, which has proven reliable across multiple Bitcoin cycles, suggests the market is nowhere near its peak.
CryptoCon emphasizes that when Bitcoin dropped and then revisited the $76,000 level, this wasn’t a sign of market weakness. Instead, it represented a healthy retest – the kind of price action that typically occurs in strong uptrends. This movement resembles the market taking a necessary pause before launching into its next upward phase.
The analyst points out that many people remain concerned that this cycle has completely ended, but multiple reliable data sources indicate no Bitcoin cycle top has occurred. The visit to $76,000 was characterized as a healthy retest rather than a bearish one, which would typically appear at the start of a bear market or between cycle tops.
No Cycle Top in Sight as Bitcoin Enters Standard High Zone
CryptoCon’s chart analysis reveals that Bitcoin is now entering what’s called the Standard High Zone, which still offers plenty of room for growth. The Rate of Change indicator, a momentum oscillator that measures the velocity of price changes, currently sits in a favorable position. It remains below the Standard High level but above the Bearish Retest zone, indicating that Bitcoin isn’t overbought but is building acceleration.
The analysis identifies several key zones based on historical patterns. Cycle tops, marked by purple indicators, have historically preceded major crashes. The Standard High zone, shown in orange, signals overbought conditions. Bearish retests, highlighted in red, represent false rallies before deeper price drops. Meanwhile, healthy retests, marked in green, indicate strong bullish support zones.
There's still a good many people who are concerned that somehow, someway, this cycle is completely over.
But here's yet another tried and true data source telling us that there has been no Bitcoin cycle top, and our last visit to 76k was a healthy retest: the weekly ROC.
This… pic.twitter.com/4yMZJBNsxr
— CryptoCon (@CryptoCon_) May 26, 2025The current market phase shows Bitcoin in a cool-down period, operating in what CryptoCon describes as the quiet before the rocket. The macro trend remains strongly bullish, with Bitcoin maintaining its long-term uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The cryptocurrency appears to be preparing for its next major wave, with historical patterns suggesting the market is roughly halfway to the next euphoric peak.
Cycle Patterns and Future Projections
CryptoCon acknowledges that this cycle is moving more slowly than previous ones, which has made many investors uncomfortable. However, the analyst stresses that slow doesn’t mean worse, and patience will be crucial for those wanting to benefit from the best part of the cycle.
The historical analysis shows repeating parabolic tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021, all representing classic blow-off tops. After each cycle peak, Bitcoin experienced steep retracements and multi-year consolidation periods. Between cycles, Bitcoin tends to range within the healthy retest zone, and the current phase suggests an accumulation period if support levels hold.
The momentum indicators suggest that while acceleration is building, the market hasn’t reached explosive levels yet. This represents an acceleration phase rather than a climax, potentially offering entry opportunities before the Rate of Change crosses into the Standard High territory.
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Based on the harmonic analysis, this cycle appears to follow a modified three-drive pattern. The current phase represents the formation from the second drive to the third drive, which historically has delivered returns of 500% to 1000% following a retest. The low-volatility consolidation phase typically precedes violent breakouts, with the rising Rate of Change from the healthy retest zone suggesting a probable move toward the $100,000 zone by 2026.
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